Matt McFarland writes in the Washington Post about the future of transportation. Yup, like Yogi Berra, he knows it’s hard to get it right.
His article shares some thoughts about the probable emergence of autonomous motor vehicles — self-driving cars. His thinking is informed by this report from KPMG.
Mr. McFarland does not treat the countervailing forces of increasing urban density, walkability, bikeability and transit that may offset significant amounts of motor vehicle traffic. This is the case here in dear old Soggyville, where motor vehicle traffic entering the downtown core is decreasing, even as jobs and population there are increasing.
The KPMG report, from their automotive practice, makes similar assumptions — namely that the future will be the same as today (all cars all the time) except with lots more fancy automation.
As Yogi Berra said: “It’s tough to make predictions, especially about the future”. It’s probably the case here, too.
Many thanks to Chris Bruntlett at Modacity for the link.
November 22, 2015